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Hurricane Elsa: Tropical storm heading towards Martinique


This tropical storm was predicted previously by the French and American specialists.

The meteorological phenomenon that has been monitored for a few days has turned into a tropical storm this morning (1st July 2021), named Elsa.

It threatens in particular the islands of the south of the Antilles, including Martinique.

According to the latest bulletin from the Lamentin weather centre (Thursday 1 July 2021).:

The air mass behind the tropical wave remains humid and relatively unstable, but temporarily calmer for the next 24 hours.

Another disturbance is currently located around 1300 km south-east of Martinique.

Hurricane Elsa: Tropical storm heading towards Martinique

It is evolving in an environment that is favourable to its development as it moves towards the west-north-west.

It has strengthened into a tropical depression during the night and will reach the stage of tropical storm ELSA this morning (1st July 2021).

It will cross the Lesser Antilles on Friday, probably between Saint Vincent and Martinique, according to the weather forecast.

Weather deterioration on Friday, 2 July 2021

Today, a relative lull is taking shape with scattered and less intense showers.

The wind remains moderate to fairly strong, with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h in general.

The new deterioration is expected during the night and the day of tomorrow (Friday 2 July 2021).

The showers will become frequent, sustained and locally stormy.

The wind strengthens with strong and frequent gusts of over 100 km/h.

The sea will deepen, becoming rough in the Atlantic and in the channels, with average waves close to 4m.

Collected Figures about the Tropical storm

  • 100 mm in 24 hours over the northern Mornes;
  • 62 mm in Saint Pierre;
  • 60 mm in Saint Joseph.
  • The wind gusted up to 99 km/h in Vauclin and 92 km/h in Fond Saint Denis.
  • After the current tropical wave, storm Elsa will impact the islands of the Lesser Antilles
  • Guadeloupe is currently under a yellow weather watch.

While a tropical wave is bringing us its share of rain and thunderstorms, until the end of the afternoon.

A phenomenon closely followed by another one, which will impact us from tomorrow: the tropical storm Elsa.

The effects of the current tropical wave

According to the forecasters of Météo France, the Guadeloupe archipelago, but also Saint-Martin and Saint-Barthélemy, are being sprayed by a tropical wave.

It is gradually evacuating into the Caribbean Sea.

At the back, it can still drain thundery showers, even if they remain less marked and well-spaced.

Moderate electrical activity accompanies the showers.


Rainfall totals were relatively high. During the last 24 hours (1 mm = 1 litre per square metre):

  • About fifteen millimetres on Les Abymes, Le Gosier and Sainte-Anne;
  • About twenty millimetres in La Désirade;
  • About thirty millimetres in Grand-Bourg de Marie-Galante;
  • 40 to 50 mm on Capesterre-Belle-Eau and Goyave ;
  • 40 to 60 mm on the Côte-sous-le-vent ;
  • 100 mm in Matouba/Saint-Claude, Moderate electrical activity accompanied the showers.

At midday, the risk of thunderstorms continues to decrease; sunny spells may even appear or become widespread, especially on the Grande-Terre and Marie-Galante sides.

During the night, the weather should be fairly calm, with rare and rather light showers over the relief.

Elsa approaches

After the harmless Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny, whom passed very far north of our islands, here comes Elsa.

The fifth hurricane of the 2021 season, whose trajectory will cross the arc of the Lesser Antilles, between Dominica and Saint-Vincent Les Grenadines.

Elsa is located about 1400 kilometres south-east of our coast and is moving westwards at 41 km/h.

This system is encountering favourable conditions for its development and is expected to strengthen over the next few hours and become a strong tropical storm.

Elsa approaches

Guadeloupe will suffer some effects of this tropical storm, whose wind speed is estimated between 63 and 88 km/h, for the moment.

It is expected that our archipelago will experience stronger winds and deepening seas tomorrow, Friday 2 June 2021.

Martinique, Barbados, Saint Lucia and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines will be more affected by this phenomenon.

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